The day after 9/11 I emailed George W Bush urging a moderate response. I was expressing the consensus view of my Saturday morning English conversation class in Bishkek. President Bush ignored that advice.
Yesterday I emailed Joe Biden with very different advice – too late for it to influence his State if the Union Address. Here’s what I wrote:

I am an Australia/British citizen with many friends in Ukraine and no rancour towards the Russian people. I understand the strategy of putting economic pressure on Russia’s businesses and population in the hope that Putin will be disempowered from within. But as we learned in WW2 the Russian people have the ability to withstand great hardship – as do the Ukrainians – and Putin has successfully mined a deep deposit of nationalism and perceived historical grievance.
Therefore I do not believe that sanctions alone will be enough to save Ukraine, the Baltic states (notwithstanding NATO Article 5) and perhaps other former members of Russia’s sphere of influence.
Like Hitler, Putin has made his wider intentions clear. If we choose to believe that he’s bluffing, or will be brought to his senses by non-military means, we are living in Cloud Cuckoo Land. Eventually we will have to fight him, just as we had to fight Hitler. Now is the best time to do it, while a significant part of his military machine is engaged in Ukraine.
I spoke to a German colleague yesterday, who said that any military intervention to save Ukraine could precipitate WW3. I replied that it’s already started. Putin fired the starting gun. If we (the ‘good guys’) dawdle he will only get stronger, and Xi Jinping will feel increasingly comfortable supporting him and fulfilling his promise to subjugate Taiwan.
My German colleague also pointed out the vulnerability of Europe to a nuclear attack. The logic of that argument is that we should allow Putin to do whatever he wants, because he’s the only leader mad and bad enough to make a first strike. That would mean that the MAD strategy has failed and we are living in a new world order in which freedom, democracy and the rule of law have no place.


I live in Australia, where we have a Prime Minister (
Now I’ll come to the point. As well as making amicable noises about our common values and regional interests while she was here, Jacinda raised in public a very sharp-edged issue. Many New Zealanders live in Australia and some run foul of the law. If they are imprisoned for a year ior more, and have not obtained Australian citizenship, they are expelled to New Zealand on their release. Most of these people are long-term Australian residents and have little if any connection with New Zealand; in some cases they came here as babies. Jacinda Ardern asserts – reasonably in my view – that these people have made Australia their home and should be accepted as Australia’s problem. She threatened to introduce a reciprocal law in New Zealand if we did not change ours.
First, I offer a big apology to my fans, for not having posted for such a long time. In inadequate recompense I give you
But all that has nothing to do with either travel or terrorism. I’m in the UK at the moment, having travelled from Adelaide via Dubai – not my favourite transit hub, I have to say. On the way I was moved to compose the following limerick, which I throw to you, my readers, much as a rock star might throw an item of clothing into the audience…


natical Islamism, which is fuelled by the blood of ‘martyrs’, have gained a new martyr of their own: 
